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- 02:30
BoJ Monetary Policy Statement--- - 03:00BoJ Interest Rate Decision-0.750.75
- 03:00BoJ Outlook Report---
- 05:00BoJ Core CPI--2.2
- 06:30BoJ Press Conference---
Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi: At a time when the region is in major turmoil, I am glad to be in contact with Russia at the highest level. Recent events have demonstrated the depth and strength of our strategic partnership. As our bilateral relationship continues to grow, we are grateful for this solidarity and welcome Russia's support for diplomatic efforts.
Keep interest rates unchanged camp1. Rakuten Securities: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged; because under the current impact of energy prices, the central bank should ensure that necessary funds are provided to those in need rather than raising interest rates. 2. ANZ: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged; because recent statements by senior Bank of Japan officials have emphasized the downside risks that developments in the Middle East may pose to economic growth. 3. Capital Economics: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged; but it may release some hawkish signals by raising its overall and core inflation forecasts, and the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates as early as June. 4. Mizuho Securities: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged; the oil price shock caused by the war may destroy demand and may also exacerbate existing inflation risks. The Bank of Japan is in a dilemma. 5. Goldman Sachs Group: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged; this meeting may lower economic growth expectations and increase inflation forecasts for fiscal year 2026 to reflect the situation in the Middle East and rising oil prices. 6. Deutsche Bank: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged; a large number of media reports that the Bank of Japan will remain on hold. This is the message conveyed by the bank through the media that they have decided to postpone the interest rate hike. 7. Danske Bank: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged because the war has brought uncertainty to the economy and price prospects; the timing of raising interest rates will be postponed to June, and whether the interest rate can be raised by then will also depend on the development of the energy market. 8. Sumitomo Mitsui Trust: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged; given that the Bank of Japan’s policy stance still has a tightening tendency, the Bank of Japan may restart interest rate increases in June or July. Interest rate hike camp1. Sumitomo Mitsui Bank: The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates to 1%. The 1% interest rate is still slightly lower than the neutral interest rate range. This level has neither a suppressive nor a stimulating effect. 2. ING: The Bank of Japan is still likely to raise interest rates because Japan’s CPI in March was higher than expected and inflation will further accelerate; the Bank of Japan is expected to raise its inflation expectations for fiscal year 2026. 3. Daiwa Research Institute: The Bank of Japan’s early interest rate hike is a key measure for it to stabilize inflation expectations and maintain the gradual process of raising interest rates; delaying the rate hike may have a serious impact on the economy due to rising inflation and further depreciation of the yen.
Hong Kong artificial intelligence stocks were active at the beginning of the trading session. Nobikan (02635.HK) rose by more than 4%, NetEase-S (09999.HK) rose by more than 2%, Xunce (03317.HK) rose by nearly 2%, and stocks such as MINIMAX-W (00100.HK), Zhipu (02513.HK), and UBTECH (09880.HK) followed suit.
HSI opened on April 28 (Tuesday), down 111.28 points, or 0.43%, to 25814.37 points;Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Technology Index opened on April 28 (Tuesday), down 16.06 points, or 0.33%, to 4923.78 points; The state-owned enterprise index opened down 44.74 points, or 0.51%, to 8711.58 points on April 28 (Tuesday); The red chip index opened down 12.48 points, or 0.29%, to 4326.07 points on April 28 (Tuesday).
According to a Capitol Hill reporter: Sources revealed that US Vice President Vance’s trip to Iowa originally scheduled for Thursday has been postponed to next Tuesday.
According to the Wall Street Journal: Foreign automakers have warned that their cheapest models may exit the U.S. market if the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is not renewed. The automaker's warning has been conveyed to U.S. President Donald Trump's economic advisers, sources said.
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Trading Terminology
refer to the state of a trade after a trader has entered the market. Traders can Buy or Sell to enter the market.
Closed Positions:
refers to executing a security transaction that is the exact opposite of an open position, thereby nullifying it and eliminating the initial exposure.
Close Out：
When your account's Equity reaches 50% of your Used margin , the system will automatically close out positions. The system will start closing positions that have the highest loss until the ratio is greater than 50%.
IMPORTANT NOTE: You should set “stop loss” and “take profit” in time when trading.
How to calculate profit and loss?
For example, you buy 100 AUDUSD with a pip value of 0.01 USD and required margin of $5.
The opening price is 0.78260 and the closing price is 0.78220.
Their price difference in pips is -4 pips [(0.78220-0.78260)/0.0001 - The pip for AUDUSD is the fourth decimal point, ie. 0.0001].
Hence, the profit/loss (P/L) is -$0.04.
What is Margin Level?
● Margin level is a mathematical equation that effectively tells the trader how much of their funds are available for new trades
● The higher the margin level, the higher the amount of cash available to trade
● The lower the margin level, the lower the amount of cash available to trade and the account could be subject to a margin call.
● Monitoring margin level is important for managing your account. If it falls to 100% the system will not allow you to open new positions, and in the case it falls further, some of your positions may be forcibly closed. You can raise it, either by adding funds to your account to increase equity or by closing some positions to reduce used margin.
If your margin level is getting close to 50%, you are in danger of having some of your positions forcibly closed. When the margin level is less than or equal to 50%, the positions with the greater losses will be closed out until the margin level rises above 50%. The positions opened by coupons will not be influenced and hence coupon trades will not be closed out.
How is margin level calculated?
It is calculated by the following formula:
Margin level = (equity ÷ used margin) × 100%
If you don't have any trades open, your margin level will be “- “
Margin level example
If your account equity is $8,000 and your used margin is $2,000 then your margin level is 400%.
Important Economic Data - Released Dates
At 15:30 (GMT +2) on the first Friday of every month
GDP of major currencies (EUR, USD, GBP, AUD, NZD & JPY):
Released on a quarterly basis.
CPI of major currencies (EUR, USD, GBP, AUD, NZD & JPY) :
Released monthly.
U.S. Initial jobless Claims :
At 15:30 (GMT +2) every Thursday
U.S. Durable Goods Orders :
At 14:30 (GMT + 2) once a month
FOMC Minutes:
The Committee meets eight times a year, approximately once every 6 weeks
EIA:
At 17:30 (GMT + 2) every Wednesday
OPEC meeting:
Twice in a year, usually in June and December
Candlestick Chart
1. Bullish Candle: When the close is higher than the open (usually green or white).
2. Bearish Candle: When the close is lower than the open (usually red or black).
There are three main parts to a candlestick:
1. Upper Shadow: The vertical line between the high of the day and the close (bullish candle) or open (bearish candle).
2. Real Body: The difference between the open and close; colored portion of the candlestick.
3. Lower Shadow: The vertical line between the low of the day and the open (bullish candle) or close (bearish candle).
Candlestick Patterns
1.White Marubozu
Formation: When the opening price equals the bottom price and the closing price equals the top price. The body colour is white or green without shadows.
Meaning: The buyers maintained control of the price - Bullish.
Forecast: It indicates the continuation at the end of an uptrend or a reversal at the end of a downtrend.
2.Black Marubozu
Formation: When the opening price equals the top price and the closing price equals the bottom price. The body colour is black or red without shadows.
Meaning: The sellers maintained control of the price - Bearish
Forecast: It indicates the continuation at the end of a downtrend or a reversal at the end of an uptrend.
3.Closing Black Marubozu
Formation: When the closing price equals the top price and no lower shadow is created.
Meaning: The sellers took control of the price - Bearish.
Forecast: It indicates the continuation at the end of a downtrend or a reversal at the end of an uptrend.
4.Hammer
Formation: Small candlestick body with a long lower shadow and a short or absent upper shadow.
Meaning: The buyers were able to overcome the selling pressure and close near the open - Bullish.
Forecast: It indicates a reversal after a downtrend or a support level which requires further bullish confirmation.
5.Shooting Star
Formation: Small candlestick body with a long upper shadow and a short or absent lower shadow.
Meaning: The sellers were able to overcome the buying pressure - Bearish.
Forecast: It indicates a reversal after an uptrend or a resistance level which requires further bearish confirmation.
6.Spinning Tops
Formation: Small candlestick body with a long upper shadow and a long lower shadow.
Meaning: Neither the sellers or the buyers were able to take over - Neutral.
Forecast: If it forms during an uptrend, it could mean that not many buyers are left and a possible reversal might occur. If it forms during a downtrend, it could mean that not many sellers are left and a possible reversal might occur.
7.Doji
Formation: Opening and closing prices are effectively equal with a long upper shadow and a long lower shadow.
Meaning: Neither the sellers or the buyers were able to take over - Neutral.
Forecast: It indicates indecision and is often formed during resting periods after a significant move either higher or lower.
The above are some types of candlestick patterns that can be formed. The different types can be categorised as single, double and triple candlestick formations. Please always take market conditions and price action signal into consideration before acting on a single candlestick pattern.
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