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Fed Daly: The model shows that productivity improvements will push the neutral interest rate; the labor market shows less liquidity and vitality; it is unlikely to affect the neutral interest rate in the short term; growth is solid, but companies mentioned that demand is uncertain.
Fed Daley: The lack of jobs for new graduates is partly cyclical and partly because employers are uncertain about how artificial intelligence will impact their businesses.
Fed Daley: For businesses, the economy feels well supported.
Fed's Daley: Businesses are seeing a buyer's market in the labor market. For U.S. businesses, demand uncertainty has recently turned to cautious optimism.
Fitch Ratings: U.S. high-yield bond and loan default rates have increased moderately, and the credit environment remains positive.
According to AXIOS website reporter: Two people familiar with the matter said that the political group negotiations held in Geneva today have reached a deadlock. Sources said the reason was the position put forward by Russia's new chief negotiator Vladimir Medinsky.
Vice President Vance: Maybe there will be a federal artificial intelligence standard, or a dominant state-wide standard.
US Vice President Vance: You will have a set of artificial intelligence standards.
US Vice President Vance: I am concerned about companies using artificial intelligence to spy on Americans.
US Vice President Vance: Trump has many options on Iran.
Fed Daley: At present, monetary policy is at a moderate or slightly tightening level.
Fed Daly: We need to ensure that the fragility of the labor market does not turn into substantial weakness.
Fed Daley: With the exception of health care and education, most industries in the U.S. economy are facing unemployment.
Fed Daly: Artificial intelligence is a mechanism to help us deal with inflation, but it is also a restrictive policy.
Fed's Daley: Inflation needs to be lowered.
Fed Daly: We still have about 75 basis points of room before reaching neutral interest rates.
Fed's Daly: Workers' anxiety is rising.
Fed's Daley: Productivity growth may just be better cost management amid slowdown
Fed Daley: Not all productivity growth can be attributed to artificial intelligence, but productivity is indeed changing.
Fed's Daly: It's all a matter of timing.